The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and the reckless spending by governments worldwide are leading to a significant increase in government debt globally. As a result, experts predict that inflation rates will rise in the near future, which means investors and savers need to be cautious about their financial decisions.
According to research from the Institute of International Finance (IIF), global debt increased by $1.3 trillion in the first quarter of 2023, reaching a record $315 trillion. Emerging economies such as China, India, and Mexico experienced a notable surge in debt levels, while developed countries saw relatively stable debt levels. Despite some reduction in government debt levels in industrialized countries following the pandemic, long-term trends of increasing national debt are resurfacing due to financial aid packages implemented during the crisis.
The United States is particularly vulnerable due to its high refinancing needs and record budget deficits. Although economic growth is robust, the US is projected to have a budget deficit of 5.6% this year and 6.1% next year. If not addressed, this situation could lead to higher risk premiums for American government bonds in the future.
Given the significant amount of debt that needs to be refinanced globally over the next few years, financial markets may reach a tipping point where they question the sustainability of such high levels of debt. Financial experts warn that this could lead to higher interest rates or demands for budget consolidation. In light of these challenges, investors should diversify their portfolios and carefully assess individual financial obligations while also considering currency risks and prioritizing investments in real assets to hedge against inflation.
In conclusion, it is crucial for investors and savers to remain vigilant about their investments given the potential risks posed by rising inflation rates resulting from unsustainable government spending during the COVID-19 pandemic. By taking proactive measures now, investors can minimize potential losses and maintain financial stability during uncertain economic times.
